Trump鈥檚 Last-Ditch Census Move Could Shape the Electoral Map for the Next Decade
Trump鈥檚 days as president are coming to an end, but his efforts to weaponize the census continue 鈥 and could impact our democracy for the next decade. We鈥檙e going to the Supreme Court on Nov. 30 to make sure that doesn鈥檛 happen.
If the census fight feels like a case of d茅j脿 vu, there's a good reason. We already took the Trump administration to court to block its attempt to add a citizenship question to the 2020 census. The Supreme Court agreed with us and ruled that the citizenship question was illegal. Because of that victory, the census proceeded this year as it has for the last 70 years, free of the discriminatory citizenship question.
Still, the fight continues. In spite of squarely losing on the citizenship question, the Trump administration tried again in July to weaponize the census. This time, it issued a directing the secretary of commerce to exclude undocumented immigrants from the count that determines how many congressional seats each state gets. This would be an unconstitutional and radical break with the 230-year history of the census, and could reshape the Electoral College map for years to come.
Here鈥檚 why excluding undocumented immigrants is a problem for all of us: Members of Congress don鈥檛 just represent the people who vote. They represent everyone with a stake in our communities, including over 10 million undocumented people who That鈥檚 why the census has always counted everybody 鈥 citizens and noncitizens alike 鈥 since it was first conducted in 1790. Everybody counts and everybody is entitled to representation in Congress. The Constitution says so.
On top of being unconstitutional, the exclusion of undocumented people from the census apportionment count is a discriminatory attack on immigrant communities. It鈥檚 no surprise: President Trump has been virulently anti-immigrant since even before he came into office, and the census is just one of many arenas he has used to demonize and disempower immigrants. If he prevails, the exclusionary census total Trump is asking for will dilute the political power of states and areas with significant immigrant communities, especially those of color. States with large immigrant populations like California, Texas, and New Jersey would each lose a congressional seat and an Electoral College vote, while white-majority states would gain representation. An undercount would also make it easier for politicians to draw even more skewed for gerrymandering. To avoid these undemocratic outcomes, we must preserve the integrity of the census 鈥 by counting everybody.
From the very beginning of the census fight, Trump has been trying to send the message that undocumented people do not count. That鈥檚 not only wrong, it鈥檚 unlawful and unconstitutional. Undocumented people are part of the fabric of our communities. They count.
This case is not about particular individuals or groups, it鈥檚 about whether all of our communities are represented. We all have a stake in our communities, and we all lose when we鈥檙e not counted accurately. We won鈥檛 let Trump get away with this last-ditch effort to weaponize the census. We defeated him in the Supreme Court last year, and we are confident that we will do it again this month.